జనవరిలో తగ్గిన ద్రవ్యోల్బణం - తగ్గుదల

రిజర్వు బ్యాంకు నిర్ణయాలకు ఆధారమైన రిటైల్ ధరల పెరుగుదల జనవరిలో తగ్గింది.

ద్రవ్యోల్బణం

Published : Feb 12, 2019, 11:28 PM IST

డిసెంబర్లో 2.11 శాతంగా ఉన్న రిటైల్ ద్రవ్యోల్బణం జనవరిలో 2.05 శాతానికి తగ్గింది. కూరగాయలు, గుడ్ల ధరలతో పాటు ఆహార పదార్థాల ధరల తగ్గుదల దీనికి దోహాదపడింది. కేంద్ర గణాంక కార్యాలయం జనవరి నెలకు సంబంధించి విడుదల చేసిన గణాంకాలు ఈ విషయాలను వెల్లడించాయి.

జనవరి 2018లో ఈ ద్రవ్యోల్బణం 5.07 శాతంగా ఉంది. 2018 డిసెంబర్లో 2.19 శాతంగా ఉన్న వినియోగదారు ద్రవ్యోల్బణం సవరించిన అంచనాల ప్రకారం 2.11 శాతానికి తగ్గింది. డిసెంబర్లో 4.54 శాతంగా ఉన్న ఇంధన, విద్యుత్ ద్రవ్యోల్బణం 2.2 శాతానికి పడిపోయింది.

ద్రవ్య పరపతి విధాన సమీక్షకు రిటైల్ ద్రవ్యోల్బణాన్నే రిజర్వు బ్యాంకు ఆధారంగా తీసుకుంటుంది. గత త్రైమాసిక ద్రవ్యోల్బణ అంచనాలను 2.8 శాతానికి తగ్గించింది ఆర్బీఐ.

RESTRICTION SUMMARY: AP CLIENTS ONLY
SHOTLIST:
POOL - AP CLIENTS ONL
London - 12 February 2019
1. Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney walking onto stage and sitting down
2. Carney walking up to podium
3. SOUNDBITE (English) Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England:
"So, (the) story thus far, there are pockets of risk, global growth is still decelerating, but overall the combination of the policy response and the state of current imbalances in advanced economies suggests that global growth is more likely than not to stabilise eventually around it's new modest trend of about three and a quarter percent. But obviously this is a judgement not a guarantee. Not that anyone will remember that line but I'm just going to repeat that, it's a judgement not a guarantee. The world is in a delicate equilibrium, business and consumer confidence are being buffeted by policy uncertainty. And the sustainability of those debt burdens depends on interest rates remaining low and global trade remaining open."
4. Wide of Carney giving speech
5. SOUNDBITE (English) Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England:
"And in many respects the trade tensions abroad and the Brexit debates at home are manifestations of fundamental pressures to reorder the nature of globalisation. And it is possible that new rules of the road will be developed for a more inclusive and resilient global economy. At the same time, there's a risk that countries turn inwards, undercutting growth and prosperity for all. Concerns over this possibility are already impairing investment, jobs and growth, creating a dynamic that could become self-fulfilling."
6. Wide of Carney giving speech
7. SOUNDBITE (English) Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England:
"Risks from China and de-globalisation are significant and growing, and I think the question is – is this how the expansion could end? Protectionism is already having an impact. Last year, trade growth lagged the growth of global activity and current global export PMIs signal an outright contraction in trade. Bank of England simulations suggest that an increase in tariffs of ten percentage points between the US and the rest of the world, would take two and a half percent off US output and a point off global output through trade channels alone. If business confidence and financial conditions are also effective, these impacts could double."
8. Wide of Carney giving speech
9. SOUNDBITE (English) Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England:
"Most fundamentally, the larger and more permanent the disruption of global trade, the greater the reduction in both activity and supply capacity of economies. A material hit to supply is something that advanced economies have not seen since the mid-1970s. In this scenario, a combination of slower growth, smaller surpluses in Asia and high risk premia could move global interest rates higher, increasing the burden of corporate and household debt and challenging the credit-worthiness of some sovereigns. Contrary to what you might have heard it's not easy to win a trade war."
10. Carney and moderator during discussion
11. SOUNDBITE (English) Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England:
"If the UK, I'll finish where I started, if the UK has been somewhat more inwardly focused of late, it's been for good reason. In many respects, Brexit is the first test of the new global order and it could prove the acid test of whether a way can be found to broaden the benefits of openness, while enhancing democratic accountability. Brexit can lead to new forms of international cooperation and cross-border commerce, built on a better balance of local and supranational authorities. In these respects, Brexit could affect both the short and long term global outlooks. So it's in the interests of everyone, arguably everywhere, from (British navigator Martin) Frobisher's grave to Frobisher's Bay, that a Brexit solution is found that works for all."
12. Carney taking seat at end of speech
13. SOUNDBITE (English) Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England: ++AUDIO AS INCOMING++
"It's not clear the direction of monetary policy if there is a hard Brexit, because in the end we will have some conflicting forces. We will have for a period of time a reduction in the supply capacity of the economy, we would expect lower demand, not least because what's still is our largest trading partner, there would be lower demand from the EU. And the exchange rate would adjust. And the net of that could quite well be inflationary for a period of time. Now, that's not a, as people know there's a lot of subtleties around that and we're not saying that definitely implies a tightening of policy, but we do want to put people on notice that this is a different situation than what normally has happened through judging from your young age, all of our professional lifetimes, which is that hits to the economy have been largely hits to demand and this is actually for a period of time, a hit to supply.
14. Carney walking off stage
STORYLINE:
Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney said on Tuesday that Brexit could be an "acid test" of the benefits of a new global order.
Speaking in London, Carney said the outcome of the UK's exit from the European Union would show if "a way could be found to broaden the benefits of openness, while enhancing democratic accountability".
Carney said that while global growth is still decellerating, the Bank of England predicts it to balance out at around 3.25 percent.
But he also said "risks" such as trade tensions, an increase in protectionism and a trend of "de-globalisation" were threats to economic growth and the impacts of this were already being felt.
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