Alarming! 30-40% restaurants to down shutters soon

"The industry has no reserves. And now with all the constraints from the curfew to the liquor ban to the reduction in the capacity we are all going to lose money for a few months. On top of the losses during the lockdown, this is very hard to recover from and hence many are closing,” said AD Singh, the founder and Managing Director of the Olive Group of Restaurants.

New Delhi: The restaurant industry fears 30-40% eateries (from the organized sector) will shut down shutters soon out of the half a million present in the larger cities. Popular restaurants in Khan Market, New Delhi have already announced closure and many to follow suit, as shared by industry sources.

"The industry has no reserves. And now with all the constraints from the curfew to the liquor ban to the reduction in the capacity we are all going to lose money for a few months. On top of the losses during the lockdown, this is very hard to recover from and hence many are closing,” said AD Singh, the founder and Managing Director of the Olive Group of Restaurants.

Some ground realities

It takes no science to understand why the restaurant industry is the worst hit as opined by the industry experts. The industry which thrives on socializing and creating good times with family and friends is surely the worst hit where maintaining social distancing now is the norm. Besides, one of the primary reasons for the closing of restaurants is that it's a capital intensive business wherein the daily churn is required to get going.

Restaurant industry thrives on socializing and creating good times with family and friends.

Also, high rental is another cascading factor in the operating cost. Moreover, with the kind of guidelines to operate a restaurant business these days, many would not have the capability to follow such guidelines of social distancing and fewer footfalls, no liquor, etc.

Even if the restrictions are not there, customers at this time will not be in that state of mind to dine out. Economic factors as well as the fear of spending some good amount of time (40 minutes to one hour) in a closed environment where many strangers will come and go does not look feasible for consumers.

"Eating out at restaurants is not a necessity, by and large; it’s a part of discretionary spending when you go out, socialize ― it’s all part of that. If you are not in a secure mind-frame about your future income, you will be as conservative as possible, and these are the kinds of expenditures that get knocked out first," said Devangshu Dutta, founder, Third Eyesight.

National Restaurants Association of India (NRAI) President Anurag Katriar said the sustainability cost is very high in the restaurant industry. There is no working capital and there is uncertainty in business volumes going forward. The volume is expected to be subdued as will need cash to fund losses that restaurants are unlikely to get. Further, the operational cost including the rentals is very high to afford.

with the kind of guidelines to operate a restaurant business these days, many would not have the capability to follow such guidelines of social distancing and fewer footfalls.

“I see the cost to sustain closure is very high. Many don’t have any resources which will impact the industry in such a way that 30-40% of restaurants will not reopen,” Katriar said.

“The restaurant industry was always a high mortality rate industry but the effects of the pandemic has been devastating. Some estimates say that 25-40% of restaurants may never open and even those that open will have to deal with low sales for a few months,” said Zorawar Kalra, founder of Massive Restaurants.

What’s in the offing?

Maintaining the utmost care in health and hygiene measures may prove a double whammy for restaurateurs. Firstly, it will add to their operating costs but they won’t be able to do away with this measure-as this is the only way to bring back consumer confidence. Adopting digital menus and digital payment solutions is another area they will have to travel around.

Maintaining the utmost care in health and hygiene measures may prove a double whammy for restaurateurs.

Besides, working with 50 percent or less of total capacity to ensure social distancing, the restaurants will probably have to get on the apps that provide online reservations, pre-ordering, and waitlist management to help minimize the queue of people waiting to be served. Popular restaurants have already started with thermal scanning for employees as well as consumers.

So, in the post COVID era, thermal scanning will be the new metal detection initiative that the restaurants will have to partake.

“Restaurants will have to opt for digital menus, contactless food, and sanitization among others. And with 50 percent occupancy, no alcohol and reduced working hours-restaurants will not make any money,” said Riyaaz Amlani, MD of Impresario Handmade Restaurants and the former President of NRAI.

(Written by Sharmila Das. Author is a Delhi-based freelance journalist.)