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FY19 air passenger growth slowest in 5 years: ICRA

According to the ICRA, the decline in passenger traffic follows the increase in airfares due to the lower number of flights owing to multiple issues.

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Published : May 3, 2019, 12:55 PM IST

New Delhi: High airfares and capacity constraints decelerated the passenger traffic growth at Indian airports in 2018-19 to its lowest rate in the last five years, rating agency ICRA said on Thursday.

According to the ICRA, the decline in passenger traffic follows the increase in airfares due to the lower number of flights owing to multiple issues.

The rating agency said that after years of strong growth, the passenger traffic growth at Indian airports declined by 1.1 per cent on a year-on-year basis in March 2019.

The slowdown dragged the FY19 passenger traffic growth down to 11.6 per cent, making it the lowest over the last five fiscals. During the same period, the aircraft traffic grew by 12.1 per cent, while the cargo traffic increased by 6 per cent.

Read more:Iraq continues to be India's top oil supplier, imports from US rises 4-folds

"The slowdown has been witnessed primarily in Q4 FY2019, wherein the passenger traffic increased by only 3.9 per cent Y-o-Y, as against a growth of 14.5 per cent in the first nine months. Further, the decline in March 2019 is the first instance of Y-o-Y traffic de-growth in a month since February 2013," said Harsh Jagnani, Vice President and Sector Head for Corporate Ratings, ICRA.

"Thus, the robust growth trend of the last few years, wherein the CAGR had been 17.5% (FY2015-FY2018) has been arrested. This can impact revenues and margins for the airport's sector at a time when many of them are undertaking sizeable capex."

New Delhi: High airfares and capacity constraints decelerated the passenger traffic growth at Indian airports in 2018-19 to its lowest rate in the last five years, rating agency ICRA said on Thursday.

According to the ICRA, the decline in passenger traffic follows the increase in airfares due to the lower number of flights owing to multiple issues.

The rating agency said that after years of strong growth, the passenger traffic growth at Indian airports declined by 1.1 per cent on a year-on-year basis in March 2019.

The slowdown dragged the FY19 passenger traffic growth down to 11.6 per cent, making it the lowest over the last five fiscals. During the same period, the aircraft traffic grew by 12.1 per cent, while the cargo traffic increased by 6 per cent.

Read more:Iraq continues to be India's top oil supplier, imports from US rises 4-folds

"The slowdown has been witnessed primarily in Q4 FY2019, wherein the passenger traffic increased by only 3.9 per cent Y-o-Y, as against a growth of 14.5 per cent in the first nine months. Further, the decline in March 2019 is the first instance of Y-o-Y traffic de-growth in a month since February 2013," said Harsh Jagnani, Vice President and Sector Head for Corporate Ratings, ICRA.

"Thus, the robust growth trend of the last few years, wherein the CAGR had been 17.5% (FY2015-FY2018) has been arrested. This can impact revenues and margins for the airport's sector at a time when many of them are undertaking sizeable capex."

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AIR-TRAFFIC-GROWTH
Air traffic growth hits 5-yr low in FY19 at 11.6%; cargo at 6%
         Mumbai, May 2 (PTI) The pace of growth in air traffic
hit a five-year low at 11.6 percent in fiscal 2019, pulled
down by low growth of 3.9 percent in the March quarter as
against a healthy 14.9 percent in the first three quarters.
         Cargo traffic growth also moderated in the year to 6
percent, as against double-digits growth witnessed over the
past two years.
         According to Icra, domestic passenger traffic declined
by 1.1 percent in March, overall traffic saw a de-growth of
0.1 percent in the month as international aircraft movement
dipped by 1 percent while domestic aircraft movement was flat.
         The de-growth in March was the first since February
2013, the agency said Thursday.
         The passenger traffic movement at the four key
airports reported a sharp decline in March as travel demand in
the Delhi and Mumbai airports de-grew 9.4 percent and 16.2
percent, respectively. Similarly, Chennai saw a 7.4 percent
de-growth and Kochi degrew by 11.3 percent in March.
         "After years of strong growth, air traffic growth has
hit a low with passenger traffic declining by 1.1 percent in
March. This has dragged down the full year passenger traffic
growth to 11.6 percent, making it the lowest in the past five
years," Icra said.
         Overall aircraft movement grew by 12.1 percent, while
cargo traffic increased by 6 percent in the year.
         Between FY15 and FY18, the air traffic grew an
annualized rate of 17.5 percent. But this has been arrested of
FY19. "This can impact revenue and margin of airports at a
time when many of them are undertaking large capex," said
Harsh Jagnani of Icra said.
         The decline in passenger traffic follows the increase
in airfares due to lower number of flights owing to multiple
issues, he aid.
         Noting that Bengaluru, Hyderabad, Ahmedabad, Guwahati,
and Goa have maintained growth momentum, Icra said overall,
the metros airports de-growing.
         According to the agency, cargo traffic growth also
moderated to 6 percent in FY19, as against double-digits
growth witnessed over the past two years.
         The slowdown was primarily driven by the international
cargo segment, which accounts for 62 percent of the total
cargo traffic, and grew only 2.6 percent in FY19 as against
15.6 percent in FY18.
         On the other hand, domestic cargo traffic had a robust
growth of 12 percent in FY19 up from 8.1 percent in FY18. PTI
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