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Shaktikanata Das expects rising government spending to spur economy from Q2

In the first quarter, the GDP grew at the slowest pace in as many as 25 quarters at 5 per cent-which is even lower than that of Pakistan's 5.4 percent.

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Published : Sep 21, 2019, 3:35 PM IST

Updated : Sep 21, 2019, 4:37 PM IST

Shaktikanata Das

Mumbai: Reserve Bank governor Shaktikanata Das expects the growth to pick up from the second quarter as the government spending has gained momentum now.

In the first quarter, the GDP grew at the slowest pace in as many as 25 quarters at 5 per cent-which is even lower than that of Pakistan's 5.4 percent.

Das addressing an India Today event here said in the first quarter the government expenditure, which has a major role in GDP numbers, was very low due to the elections, pulling down the growth numbers to some extent.

"From the second quarter government expenditure has been picked up. So second-quarter numbers will be hopefully better than the first quarter," Das said.

He said for the first quarter, the RBI analysis showed growth to be at 5.8 percent and all the surveys it did also projected growth to be in the range of 5.5-5.8 percent but the final print was much lower.

"When it came in at 5 percent it was a surprise. That is perhaps due to conflicting signals in the economy. One month the PMI goes up, the next month it goes down. The IIP numbers have also been going up and down.

"So, there are various other data prints on which you build your estimates that go in conflicting directions and giving conflicting signals and that makes the task more complex," he explained. But he was quick to add that the explanation is not an excuse.

Read more: Health, export key to become USD 5 trillion economy: NITI Aayog VC

On the crippled NBFC sector which has been facing liquidity crisis for a year now, he said the RBI is very closely monitoring the top 50 NBFCs, which account for roughly 75 percent of the loan outstanding of the industry.

"It is very close monitoring that we are doing," the governor added.

When queried about the stress in the NBFC sector and is RBI looking at an asset quality review of the industry, Das said there is no such thought now.

"The NBFC sector is a much larger universe compared to banks. A general asset quality review of the sector is one issue on which we have not really thought of," he said.

Mumbai: Reserve Bank governor Shaktikanata Das expects the growth to pick up from the second quarter as the government spending has gained momentum now.

In the first quarter, the GDP grew at the slowest pace in as many as 25 quarters at 5 per cent-which is even lower than that of Pakistan's 5.4 percent.

Das addressing an India Today event here said in the first quarter the government expenditure, which has a major role in GDP numbers, was very low due to the elections, pulling down the growth numbers to some extent.

"From the second quarter government expenditure has been picked up. So second-quarter numbers will be hopefully better than the first quarter," Das said.

He said for the first quarter, the RBI analysis showed growth to be at 5.8 percent and all the surveys it did also projected growth to be in the range of 5.5-5.8 percent but the final print was much lower.

"When it came in at 5 percent it was a surprise. That is perhaps due to conflicting signals in the economy. One month the PMI goes up, the next month it goes down. The IIP numbers have also been going up and down.

"So, there are various other data prints on which you build your estimates that go in conflicting directions and giving conflicting signals and that makes the task more complex," he explained. But he was quick to add that the explanation is not an excuse.

Read more: Health, export key to become USD 5 trillion economy: NITI Aayog VC

On the crippled NBFC sector which has been facing liquidity crisis for a year now, he said the RBI is very closely monitoring the top 50 NBFCs, which account for roughly 75 percent of the loan outstanding of the industry.

"It is very close monitoring that we are doing," the governor added.

When queried about the stress in the NBFC sector and is RBI looking at an asset quality review of the industry, Das said there is no such thought now.

"The NBFC sector is a much larger universe compared to banks. A general asset quality review of the sector is one issue on which we have not really thought of," he said.

Intro:Body:

Mumbai, Sep 20 (PTI) Reserve Bank governor

Shaktikanata Das expects the growth to pick up from the second

quarter as the government spending has gained momentum now.

    In the first quarter, the GDP grew at the slowest pace

in as many as 25 quarters at 5 percent-which is even lower

than that of Pakistan's 5.4 percent.

    Das addressing an India Today event here said in the

first quarter the government expenditure, which has a major

role in GDP numbers, was very low due to the elections,

pulling down the growth numbers to some extent.

    "From the second quarter government expenditure has

been picked up. So second quarter numbers will be hopefully

better than the first quarter," Das said.

    He said for the first quarter, the RBI analysis showed

growth to be at 5.8 percent and all the surveys it did also

projected growth to be in the range of 5.5-5.8 percent but the

final print was much lower.

    "When it came in at 5 percent it was a surprise. That

is perhaps due to conflicting signals in the economy. One

month the PMI goes up, the next month it goes down. The IIP

numbers have also been going up and down.

    "So, there are various other dataprints on which you

build your estimates that go in conflicting directions and

giving conflicting signals and that makes the task more

complex," he explained. But he was quick to add that the

explanation is not an excuse.

    On the crippled NBFC sector which have been facing

liquidity crisis for a year now, he said the RBI is very

closely monitoring the top 50 NBFCs, which account for roughly

75 percent of the loan outstanding of the industry.

    "It is a very close monitoring that we are doing," the

governor added.

    When queried about the stress in the NBFC sector and

is RBI looking at an asset quality review of the industry, Das

said there is no such thought now.

    "The NBFC sector is a much larger universe compared to

banks. A general asset quality review of the sector is one

issue on which we have not really thought of," he said.


Conclusion:
Last Updated : Sep 21, 2019, 4:37 PM IST
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