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Final push in Britain's Brexit election

Thursday's snap general election was called in a bid to break the Brexit deadlock that has gripped Britain ever since the seismic 2016 referendum vote to leave the EU.

Final push in Britain's Brexit election
Final push in Britain's Brexit election
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Published : Dec 11, 2019, 10:20 PM IST

Updated : Dec 12, 2019, 8:52 PM IST

London: Britain's political leaders were to criss-cross the country on Wednesday's final day of general election campaigning as a key poll showed the outcome could be hanging in the balance.

Conservative Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Labour main opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn were set for whistlestop tours of key battleground seats in a frantic last push for votes.

Final push in Britain's Brexit election.

Thursday's snap general election was called in a bid to break the Brexit deadlock that has gripped Britain ever since the seismic 2016 referendum vote to leave the EU.After struggling to lead a minority administration, Johnson is hoping to secure a majority government that will enable him to take Britain out of the European Union on January 31.

His center-right Conservatives have been consistently ahead in the opinion polls but YouGov's final survey of the campaign predicted they were set only for a narrow majority -- with the race tightening.

The pollsters' seat projection put the Conservatives on course for a relatively slender 28-seat majority in parliament's 650-member lower House of Commons -- down from a comfortable 68 forecast by YouGov on November 27.

UK polls in numbers.

The new poll forecast that the Conservatives would take 339 seats (up 22 on the last general election in 2017), with the left-wing Labour main opposition on 231 (down 31).The Scottish Nationalist Party (SNP) was on course for 41 seats, up six, while the Liberal Democrats are set for 15 seats, up three.YouGov warned that the final number of Conservative seats could be between 311 -- hung parliament territory -- and 367."

The margins are extremely tight and small swings in a small number of seats, perhaps from tactical voting and a continuation of Labour's recent upward trend, means we can't currently rule out a hung parliament," said Chris Curtis, YouGov's political research manager.

The pollsters interviewed approximately 1,00,000 panellists over the past seven days.Johnson, 55, was to start the day delivering milk in Yorkshire, northern England, and end it canvassing in Essex, northeast of London."Unless we get out of this quicksand of a Brexit argument, our future as a country remains uncertain... a lost decade of division, delay and deadlock," he said."Let's get Brexit done and get on with spreading opportunity and hope across the whole UK and let's unleash the potential of this country." In a bid to ram home his core message, Johnson ploughed a British flag-themed digger, marked "Get Brexit done", through a styrofoam wall with "gridlock" written on it.

Read also: Johnson's spoof on 'Love Actually' scene sets Twitter abuzz

Corbyn, 70, was to speak at a rally in Middlesbrough, northeast England, calling Thursday "the most important election in a generation".

"My message to all those voters who are still undecided is that you can vote for hope," he was to say.

"We will put money in your pocket because you deserve it. The richest and big business will pay for it." The veteran socialist is planning a vast programme of public service spending and nationalisation, plus another referendum on Brexit, pitting a softer version than Johnson's against staying in the EU.

Britain Elects poll aggregator puts the Conservatives on 43 percent, Labour on 33 percent, the Liberal Democrats on 13 percent, and the Greens and the Brexit Party on three percent each.

Read also: Rule-breaker Boris Johnson faces toughest test in election

London: Britain's political leaders were to criss-cross the country on Wednesday's final day of general election campaigning as a key poll showed the outcome could be hanging in the balance.

Conservative Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Labour main opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn were set for whistlestop tours of key battleground seats in a frantic last push for votes.

Final push in Britain's Brexit election.

Thursday's snap general election was called in a bid to break the Brexit deadlock that has gripped Britain ever since the seismic 2016 referendum vote to leave the EU.After struggling to lead a minority administration, Johnson is hoping to secure a majority government that will enable him to take Britain out of the European Union on January 31.

His center-right Conservatives have been consistently ahead in the opinion polls but YouGov's final survey of the campaign predicted they were set only for a narrow majority -- with the race tightening.

The pollsters' seat projection put the Conservatives on course for a relatively slender 28-seat majority in parliament's 650-member lower House of Commons -- down from a comfortable 68 forecast by YouGov on November 27.

UK polls in numbers.

The new poll forecast that the Conservatives would take 339 seats (up 22 on the last general election in 2017), with the left-wing Labour main opposition on 231 (down 31).The Scottish Nationalist Party (SNP) was on course for 41 seats, up six, while the Liberal Democrats are set for 15 seats, up three.YouGov warned that the final number of Conservative seats could be between 311 -- hung parliament territory -- and 367."

The margins are extremely tight and small swings in a small number of seats, perhaps from tactical voting and a continuation of Labour's recent upward trend, means we can't currently rule out a hung parliament," said Chris Curtis, YouGov's political research manager.

The pollsters interviewed approximately 1,00,000 panellists over the past seven days.Johnson, 55, was to start the day delivering milk in Yorkshire, northern England, and end it canvassing in Essex, northeast of London."Unless we get out of this quicksand of a Brexit argument, our future as a country remains uncertain... a lost decade of division, delay and deadlock," he said."Let's get Brexit done and get on with spreading opportunity and hope across the whole UK and let's unleash the potential of this country." In a bid to ram home his core message, Johnson ploughed a British flag-themed digger, marked "Get Brexit done", through a styrofoam wall with "gridlock" written on it.

Read also: Johnson's spoof on 'Love Actually' scene sets Twitter abuzz

Corbyn, 70, was to speak at a rally in Middlesbrough, northeast England, calling Thursday "the most important election in a generation".

"My message to all those voters who are still undecided is that you can vote for hope," he was to say.

"We will put money in your pocket because you deserve it. The richest and big business will pay for it." The veteran socialist is planning a vast programme of public service spending and nationalisation, plus another referendum on Brexit, pitting a softer version than Johnson's against staying in the EU.

Britain Elects poll aggregator puts the Conservatives on 43 percent, Labour on 33 percent, the Liberal Democrats on 13 percent, and the Greens and the Brexit Party on three percent each.

Read also: Rule-breaker Boris Johnson faces toughest test in election

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UK polls: Boris Johnson holds on to lead but hung Parliament within margin
By Aditi Khanna
         London, Dec 11 (PTI) The final day of Britain's general election campaign on Wednesday witnessed party leaders making a last-ditch sprint across the UK for votes, as a definitive pre-poll survey putting Prime Minister Boris Johnson in the lead but also keeping the prospect of a hung Parliament on the table.
         In what is being pegged as a very close election that could go down to the last vote on polling day on Thursday, the model that accurately predicted the outcome in the last election in 2017 reveals that unlike some of the previous surveys, the Conservatives can no longer be guaranteed a majority.
         The YouGov poll on the eve of polling day, based on interviews over the past week, suggests that the Conservatives are on course to win 339 seats, Labour 231, the Liberal Democrats 15 and the Scottish National Party (SNP) 41. This is comfortably over the magic 326-figure required for a majority in the 650-member House of Commons, but the figure remains within the margin that could well throw up a hung Parliament.
         "Based on the model we cannot rule out a hung Parliament," notes Anthony Wells, YouGov's director of political research.
         The latest 13-seat majority for the Tories is a far cry from the comfortable 68-seat majority forecast just two weeks ago. This keeps the field open for Jeremy Corbyn led Opposition Labour Party and smaller parties like the Lib Dems and SNP to feel hopeful that they may still be in with a chance to influence the final outcome.
         Under YouGov's multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) model applied to the demographic make-up and individual characteristics of each of the constituencies in Great Britain, the survey provides a broad prospect of vote shares for each seat.
         "This is a very close fought election and we need every vote," Johnson said on the final leg of the campaign trail, adding that a Tory victory on Thursday was absolutely not guaranteed.
         "This could not be more critical, it could not be tighter I just say to everybody the risk is very real that we could tomorrow be going into a hung parliament, he added.
         Equally, Corbyn and Lib Dem leader Jo Swinson and SNP chief Nicola Sturgeon have been trying to hammer home the message that the result is not a foregone conclusion and that the 46-million electorate of the country could still swing the vote with a large turnout.
         Any party with more than half the MPs (326) in the Commons usually forms the government. If no party has a majority of MPs, the one with the most can form a coalition, with one or more other parties to gain control.
         A total of 3,322 candidates are standing across the 650 seats this year, with Brexit and Britain's impending exit from the European Union (EU) playing a key role in the campaign this time.
         While Johnson has been focussed on his party's Get Brexit Done message, the Opposition parties have been offering another referendum on the final Brexit deal and have been keen on focussing on domestic issues such as the struggling state-funded National Health Service (NHS).
         Polls open on Thursday morning and close at 10 pm local time, at which time the results of the first major exit poll are declared, which usually go on to reflect the final tally that will become clear in the early hours of Friday.
         According to expert analysis, the new Parliament set to be voted in on Friday is expected to be the most diverse in Britain's history based on projections.
         The last election in 2017 had thrown up 12 Indian-origin MPs, including the first female Sikh MP Preet Kaur Gill and the first turbaned Sikh MP Tanmanjeet Singh Dhesi both for the Opposition Labour Party.
         Thursday's election looks set for a hike on that number, with Labour's Navendru Mishra and Conservatives' Gagan Mohindra and Goan-origin Claire Coutinho among the frontrunners to clinch their party's strongholds.
         The ethnic minority surge in the number of MPs is expected to include all the Indian-origin MPs from the last election, except Labour's Keith Vaz who announced his resignation just ahead of the election in the wake of a sex scandal.
         For the Tories, Priti Patel, Alok Sharma, Rishi Sunak, Shailesh Vara and Suella Braverman are set for a return. For the Labour Party, besides Gill and Dhesi, the others contesting so-called safe seats include Keith Vaz's sister Valerie Vaz, Lisa Nandy, Seema Malhotra and Virendra Sharma. PTI AK
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Last Updated : Dec 12, 2019, 8:52 PM IST
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