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President Muizzu's Party Sweeps Maldivian Polls, What It Means for India

The landslide win for Maldivian President Mohamed Muizzu's party People's National Congress, which secured 19 more seats than the majority mark, means that the he has the backing of his countrymen despite his political tilt towards China, rather than towards India which despite all rumblings has gone for an outreach to the president.

President Muizzu's party sweeps Maldivian polls, what it means for India?
President Muizzu's party sweeps Maldivian polls, what it means for India?
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By ETV Bharat English Team

Published : Apr 22, 2024, 7:18 AM IST

Updated : Apr 22, 2024, 10:55 AM IST

Male: Maldives's pro-China President Mohamed Muizzu's party swept the Parliamentary elections in that country with an absolute majority, poll results declared on Sunday showed.

Muizzu-led People's National Congress (PNC) won 70 out of 93 seats in the People's Majlis in Sunday's polls and its coalition partners Maldives National Party (MNP) and Maldives Development Alliance (MDA) won one and two seats, respectively, in the 20th People's Majlis with the power to amend the Constitution.

The Maldivian Democratic Party (MDP), led by former president Ibrahim Mohamed Solih, who is seen as a pro-India leader, held 65 seats in the previous parliament but won only 15 seats this time, Mihaaru, a news website, reported. Muizzu, 45, known for his pro-China leanings, has said that he wants to reduce India's influence in his country.

Local media described the PNC's landslide win in Sunday's election as a "super majority". In the 2019 elections, the then-ruling MDP won a super majority in Parliament, with 64 seats while the then-opposition PPM-PNC coalition won just eight. The PNC won a high number of seats in Male, Addu, Fuvahmulah and Kulhudhuffushi.

The Democrats, as well as Adhaalath Party, failed to win any seats at all. Official results for the parliamentary election in Maldives, which has a strategic location in the Indian Ocean, are expected later this week. A total of 368 candidates were in the fray, including 130 independent candidates, 10 candidates from Jumhoory Party (JP), 39 from The Democrats, Maldives Development Alliance (MDA) 4, Adhaalath Party (AP) 4, and Maldives National Party (MNP) 2 nominees.

About 40 in numbers -- 10.76 per cent -- of the candidates were women. Provisional results have shown that only three women candidates secured seats out of the 93 constituencies of the 20th People's Majlis. Fathimath Saudha from the ruling PNC won the Faafu Nilandhoo constituency, Asma Rasheed from the PNC won the Maafannu Medhu constituency, and Anara Naeem, an independent candidate, won the Kaafu Huraa constituency.

Saudha is a family member of Muizzu. Asma and Anara have previously served as MPs in the 18th People's Majlis. With about 75 per cent of the eligible voters casting their ballots, Sunday's election saw a record-low voter turnout, provisional results suggested. A total of 284,663 people were eligible to vote, but only 215,860 exercised their right.

The turnout was 81.32 per cent in the 2019 parliamentary elections, with 215,053 out of 264,446 eligible voters coming to vote. Fayyaz Ismail, the opposition MDP Chairperson, congratulated the PNC for Sunday's success in parliamentary elections in a post on X: "Whilst today's result is disappointing this is a moment to reaffirm our commitment and work even closer with our communities."

"MDP's MPs will be ready to work with the government for the betterment of our democratic values and to hold it accountable as a responsible opposition," the former economic minister said. MDP President and former foreign minister Abdulla Shahid said the party's MPs "will uphold the responsibility entrusted to you with utmost determination".

"We may not win every time. But today we can hold our heads high, and be proud of the work we did," Shahid added. A total of 602 ballot boxes were set up in the Maldives and three other countries for the parliamentary election. Polling stations were also open in 34 resorts, prisons, and other industrial islands.

The countries in which ballot boxes were placed for voting are Thiruvananthapuram in India, Colombo in Sri Lanka and Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia. The election is crucial for Muizzu, seen as a pro-China politician, as just a few days ahead of the polls, the opposition parties demanded a probe and impeachment of the president following a leaked report of his alleged corruption from 2018, a charge dismissed by him.

Besides, since Muizzu came to office, lawmakers have blocked three of his nominees to the cabinet. The election in the Maldives also came amidst deteriorating ties between the archipelago nation and India since Muizzu, 45, assumed power in November last year. During last year's presidential election, he had maintained a strident anti-India stand.

While India was forced to withdraw most of its military personnel manning three aviation platforms in the country, Muizzu travelled to China in January and met top Chinese leaders, including President Xi Jinping. China and the Maldives also signed a defence cooperation agreement and several other infrastructure development projects.

The Maldives, India's key maritime neighbour in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR), occupies a special place in its initiatives like SAGAR' (Security and Growth for All in the Region) and the Neighbourhood First Policy' of the Indian government.

Muizzu's China tilt, 'India Out' policy

Muizzu is known for his close proximity with China. In March, the Maldives and China entered into a pact "on China's provision of military assistance to the Republic of Maldives", signalling Male's continued shift away from India under the government of President Mohamed Muizzu.

The move marks a significant shift in geopolitical alignment for the Maldives. It also offers China another opportunity to expand its military presence in the Indian Ocean region. The pact is an indicator that the Muizzu government remains more desperate and firm than its predecessors to tilt towards China.

It also served a public ultimatum to India that its minuscule military presence should be done away with immediately as it attached a new strategic reality in the Indian Ocean region. China-Maldives proximity could alter regional dynamics, prompting New Delhi and other global powers to reassess their policy options in the strategically vital maritime space.

An opaque agreement

Though the Maldives-China defence agreement is mired in secrecy but the development can be worrying for India. According to the pact, Chinese military would be providing free "non-lethal" military equipment and training to the island nation.

For Muizzu his nation's clear cut foreign policy to oust India from the scene was evident from the very beginning when he made India the focal point of his election campaign. His 'India Out' endeared him to Beijing, whose designs on Male were effectively foiled by Ibrahim Solih. Despite this, India made a conscious attempt to Muizzu with Prime Minister Narendra Modi preferring for the outreach though it met with refrain.

What next

India must not be amused over the outcome of the parliamentary elections in the Maldives as it entails a significant implications for the nation's foreign policy, especially in its relations with India and China. Muizzu's victory is in all likelihood will pave the way for a closer alignment with China that can impact the strategic balance in the Indian Ocean region.(With agency inputs)

Read more

  1. Stop Being 'Stubborn' And Mend Fences With Neighbours: Ex-Maldives President Solih Tells Muizzu
  2. Maldives President Alleges His Predecessor Operated On Orders From Foreign Ambassador'

Male: Maldives's pro-China President Mohamed Muizzu's party swept the Parliamentary elections in that country with an absolute majority, poll results declared on Sunday showed.

Muizzu-led People's National Congress (PNC) won 70 out of 93 seats in the People's Majlis in Sunday's polls and its coalition partners Maldives National Party (MNP) and Maldives Development Alliance (MDA) won one and two seats, respectively, in the 20th People's Majlis with the power to amend the Constitution.

The Maldivian Democratic Party (MDP), led by former president Ibrahim Mohamed Solih, who is seen as a pro-India leader, held 65 seats in the previous parliament but won only 15 seats this time, Mihaaru, a news website, reported. Muizzu, 45, known for his pro-China leanings, has said that he wants to reduce India's influence in his country.

Local media described the PNC's landslide win in Sunday's election as a "super majority". In the 2019 elections, the then-ruling MDP won a super majority in Parliament, with 64 seats while the then-opposition PPM-PNC coalition won just eight. The PNC won a high number of seats in Male, Addu, Fuvahmulah and Kulhudhuffushi.

The Democrats, as well as Adhaalath Party, failed to win any seats at all. Official results for the parliamentary election in Maldives, which has a strategic location in the Indian Ocean, are expected later this week. A total of 368 candidates were in the fray, including 130 independent candidates, 10 candidates from Jumhoory Party (JP), 39 from The Democrats, Maldives Development Alliance (MDA) 4, Adhaalath Party (AP) 4, and Maldives National Party (MNP) 2 nominees.

About 40 in numbers -- 10.76 per cent -- of the candidates were women. Provisional results have shown that only three women candidates secured seats out of the 93 constituencies of the 20th People's Majlis. Fathimath Saudha from the ruling PNC won the Faafu Nilandhoo constituency, Asma Rasheed from the PNC won the Maafannu Medhu constituency, and Anara Naeem, an independent candidate, won the Kaafu Huraa constituency.

Saudha is a family member of Muizzu. Asma and Anara have previously served as MPs in the 18th People's Majlis. With about 75 per cent of the eligible voters casting their ballots, Sunday's election saw a record-low voter turnout, provisional results suggested. A total of 284,663 people were eligible to vote, but only 215,860 exercised their right.

The turnout was 81.32 per cent in the 2019 parliamentary elections, with 215,053 out of 264,446 eligible voters coming to vote. Fayyaz Ismail, the opposition MDP Chairperson, congratulated the PNC for Sunday's success in parliamentary elections in a post on X: "Whilst today's result is disappointing this is a moment to reaffirm our commitment and work even closer with our communities."

"MDP's MPs will be ready to work with the government for the betterment of our democratic values and to hold it accountable as a responsible opposition," the former economic minister said. MDP President and former foreign minister Abdulla Shahid said the party's MPs "will uphold the responsibility entrusted to you with utmost determination".

"We may not win every time. But today we can hold our heads high, and be proud of the work we did," Shahid added. A total of 602 ballot boxes were set up in the Maldives and three other countries for the parliamentary election. Polling stations were also open in 34 resorts, prisons, and other industrial islands.

The countries in which ballot boxes were placed for voting are Thiruvananthapuram in India, Colombo in Sri Lanka and Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia. The election is crucial for Muizzu, seen as a pro-China politician, as just a few days ahead of the polls, the opposition parties demanded a probe and impeachment of the president following a leaked report of his alleged corruption from 2018, a charge dismissed by him.

Besides, since Muizzu came to office, lawmakers have blocked three of his nominees to the cabinet. The election in the Maldives also came amidst deteriorating ties between the archipelago nation and India since Muizzu, 45, assumed power in November last year. During last year's presidential election, he had maintained a strident anti-India stand.

While India was forced to withdraw most of its military personnel manning three aviation platforms in the country, Muizzu travelled to China in January and met top Chinese leaders, including President Xi Jinping. China and the Maldives also signed a defence cooperation agreement and several other infrastructure development projects.

The Maldives, India's key maritime neighbour in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR), occupies a special place in its initiatives like SAGAR' (Security and Growth for All in the Region) and the Neighbourhood First Policy' of the Indian government.

Muizzu's China tilt, 'India Out' policy

Muizzu is known for his close proximity with China. In March, the Maldives and China entered into a pact "on China's provision of military assistance to the Republic of Maldives", signalling Male's continued shift away from India under the government of President Mohamed Muizzu.

The move marks a significant shift in geopolitical alignment for the Maldives. It also offers China another opportunity to expand its military presence in the Indian Ocean region. The pact is an indicator that the Muizzu government remains more desperate and firm than its predecessors to tilt towards China.

It also served a public ultimatum to India that its minuscule military presence should be done away with immediately as it attached a new strategic reality in the Indian Ocean region. China-Maldives proximity could alter regional dynamics, prompting New Delhi and other global powers to reassess their policy options in the strategically vital maritime space.

An opaque agreement

Though the Maldives-China defence agreement is mired in secrecy but the development can be worrying for India. According to the pact, Chinese military would be providing free "non-lethal" military equipment and training to the island nation.

For Muizzu his nation's clear cut foreign policy to oust India from the scene was evident from the very beginning when he made India the focal point of his election campaign. His 'India Out' endeared him to Beijing, whose designs on Male were effectively foiled by Ibrahim Solih. Despite this, India made a conscious attempt to Muizzu with Prime Minister Narendra Modi preferring for the outreach though it met with refrain.

What next

India must not be amused over the outcome of the parliamentary elections in the Maldives as it entails a significant implications for the nation's foreign policy, especially in its relations with India and China. Muizzu's victory is in all likelihood will pave the way for a closer alignment with China that can impact the strategic balance in the Indian Ocean region.(With agency inputs)

Read more

  1. Stop Being 'Stubborn' And Mend Fences With Neighbours: Ex-Maldives President Solih Tells Muizzu
  2. Maldives President Alleges His Predecessor Operated On Orders From Foreign Ambassador'
Last Updated : Apr 22, 2024, 10:55 AM IST
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