Milton Keynes: Planetary scientists have long known that Mercury has been shrinking for billions of years. Despite being the closest planet to the Sun, its interior has been cooling down as internal heat leaks away. This means that the rock (and, within that, the metal) of which it is composed must have contracted slightly in volume.
It is unknown, however, to what extent the planet is still shrinking today and, if so, for how long that is likely to continue. Now our new paper, published in Nature Geoscience, offers fresh insight. Because Mercury's interior is shrinking, its surface (crust) has progressively less area to cover. It responds to this by developing thrust faults where one tract of terrain gets pushed over the adjacent terrain.
This is like the wrinkles that form on an apple as it ages, except that an apple shrinks because it is drying out whereas Mercury shrinks because of thermal contraction of its interior. The first evidence of Mercury's shrinkage came in 1974 when the Mariner 10 mission transmitted pictures of kilometres-high scarps (ramp-like slopes) snaking their way for hundreds of kilometres across the terrain.
Messenger, which orbited Mercury 2011-2015, showed many more lobate scarps (as they had become known) in all parts of the globe. From such observations, it was possible to deduce that gently dipping geological faults, known as thrusts, approach the surface below each scarp and are a response to Mercury having shrunk in radius by a total of about 7km.
But when did this happen? The accepted way to work out the age of Mercury's surface is to count the density of impact craters. The older the surface, the more craters. But this method is tricky, because the rate of impacts that produce craters was much greater in the deep past.
However, it was always clear that Mercury's scarps must be fairly ancient, because although they cut through some older craters, quite a few younger craters are superimposed upon the scarps and so the scarps must be older than those.
When did that scarp last move?
The consensus view is that Mercury's scarps are mostly about 3 billion years old. But are all of them that old? And did the older ones cease moving long ago or are they still active today?
We should not expect that the thrust fault below each scarp has moved only once. The biggest earthquake on Earth in recent years, the magnitude 9 Tohoku earthquake offshore of Japan in 2011 which caused the Fukushima disaster, was the result of a sudden jump by 20 metres along a 100km length of the responsible thrust fault.
Mercury's biggest earthquakes are probably smaller. To accumulate the 2-3km of total shortening that can be measured across a typical scarp on Mercury would take hundreds of magnitude 9 earthquakes, or more likely millions of smaller events, which could have been spread out over billions of years.
Getting a handle on the scale and duration of fault movements on Mercury is important, because we would not expect Mercury's thermal contraction to have entirely finished, even though this should be slowing down.
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